Friday, March 22, 2013

Ten Sleeper Prospects who could Breakout this year:



Honourable Mentions:
Gregory Polanco, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
Tyler Austin, OF, New York Yankees
Austin Hedges, C, San Diego Padres
Garin Cecchini, 3B, Boston Red Sox
Keury De La Cruz, OF, Boston Red Sox
Carter Capps, RHP, Seattle Mariners
Delino DeShields, 2B, Houston Astros
Jesse Biddle, LHP, Philadelphia Phillies

Sleeper Prospect: Anthony Alford, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
          Alford is a guy that really has huge upside and potential in the game of baseball, but has yet to decide whether to pursue football or baseball. We Blue Jays fans all certainly hope he chooses baseball as his raw power and sheer speed make him a very rare breed. I ultimately see him choosing baseball seeing as he has already gone pro and him retweeting me when I asked him to pursue baseball. If he does choose baseball, he could be the next great Blue Jays outfielder.
Projected 2013 Stats: .285 AVG/ 19 HR/ 73 RBI/ .895 OPS (APP)

Sleeper Prospect: Yimi Garcia, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
          Yimi Garcia to me is one of the most underrated prospects in the game for many reasons. He is very young (22) has a ridiculous K/9 rate of 14.1 and has relatively good command for his age (22 BB over 52.1 IP). Why Garcia is higher up on the prospect ladder is beyond me. Could it be that he has already made the transition to closer at such an early age? I am not quite sure what the reasoning is, but I think that he will show the baseball world what he’s really made of in 2013.
Projected 2013 Stats: 4-2/ 2.45 ERA/ 28 SV/ 70 IP/ 13.5 K/9/ 1.05 WHIP (MID)

Sleeper Prospect: Michael Wacha, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
          Taken 19th overall in last year’s entry draft, Wacha has the chance to move through the minors pretty quickly. With a solid 3 pitch mix, he has enough control and poise on the mound to remain a starter throughout his big-league career. In limited innings last season, he was able to climb all the way to AAA Springfield by the end of the season, which is likely where he will end up starting this year as well. Again, his K/9 ratio is an unheard of 17.1 (close to 2 strikeouts per inning) while only walking 4 batters over 21 innings of work. HE did not record a win or loss, so we won’t judge him on that, nor should we as it’s the other stats (K/9, WHIP, etc.) that tell the true story as to how a prospect is doing down on the farm.
Projected 2013 Stats: 12-5/ 2.05 ERA/ 95 IP/ 14.5 K/9/ 1.10 WHIP (AAA/ MLB)

Sleeper Prospect: Roberto Osuna, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
          Another Blue Jays prospect, Osuna has been overshadowed by the big names at the top of the farm system, but with many of those names gone through trade, Osuna has been given the chance to truly shine and become one of the more coveted prospects in baseball. With a miniscule WHIP of 1.08 over 43.2 IP last year, this fireballing 18-year old farmhand has the chance to reach the major leagues before his 20th birthday, which in this day and age, with all of the precautions that clubs take towards their pitchers, is pretty remarkable. It may be my inner AA talking here, but I see a lot of similarities between Osuna and Mariners ace Felix Hernandez. They have the same build physically (with Osuna having room to grow) which is huge, they share the same repertoire, and Osuna is being brought along pretty quickly, much like Felix.
Projected 2013 Stats: 13-3/ 2.05 ERA/ 110 IP/ 8.9 K/9/ 1.15 WHIP (Short/MID/ AA)
Sleeper Prospect: Oswaldo Arcia, OF, Minnesota Twins
          Much of the talk surrounding the future of the Twins outfield has been given to 2012 2nd overall pick Byron Buxton. Buxton has all five tools that makes scouts drool (I see Alford in the same category, hence the underrating) and has the chance to be an MVP candidate in the not too distant future. However, with all of this anticipation and hype surrounding Buxton, Oswaldo Arcia put together a truly remarkable 2012 season which saw him post a slash line of: .320 AVG/ 17 HR/ 98 RBI/ .928 OPS. That is a very impressive slash line and should he continue this success he, along with Buxton, could be roaming the outfield in Minnesota very, very soon.
Sleeper Prospect: Jorge Alfaro, C, Texas Rangers
          The most underrated catching prospect in the game award goes to Jorge Alfaro of the Texas Rangers. With David Price seemingly on his way out of Tampa, I have the Rangers as the team that has the best chance of acquiring him. They have the money to lock him up long-term, they have the need for an ace, and most importantly, they have the prospects to get a deal done. Of course, Rays fans are going to be unhappy if and when Price is shipped out, especially after shipping out James Shields this winter, but they simply have no room payroll-wise to keep him around after locking up 3B Evan Longoria to a $100 MM deal this past offseason. One of the names that the Rangers could trade is Alfaro. The Rays need a long-term solution at catcher and could demand that Alfaro be part of the package that comes back to Tampa Bay. The reason why he is so underrated is because of how stacked the Rangers farm-system is. I see the Rangers doing what the Blue Jays did this offseason in blowing up the farm and going all in and Alfaro, whether it be in Texas, Tampa, or wherever, is going to be a very successful big-leaguer. With his advanced approach at the plate coupled with his rock solid defense, Alfaro will show us that he was very much underrated.
Projected 2013 Stats: .275 AVG/ 15 HR/ 70 RBI/ .845 OPS (SAL)

Sleeper Prospect: Joc Pederson, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
          The LA Dodgers have one of the worst farm systems in baseball, and quite frankly, the don’t really need to have a good one for the foreseeable future as their Major League roster is pretty well set for the next few years. However, they do have some very nice outfield prospects coming in Yasiel Puig and Joc Pederson. Both tore the cover off the ball last year and I expect much of the same from both. With Pederson, the much more underrated prospect, he really is a five tool player as well with his .313 AVG/ 18 HR/ 70 RBI/ .913 OPS slash line along with 26 steals. Those are some pretty gaudy numbers for the 20 year-old and I do see him continuing to improve and at least give the Dodgers some minor league credibility as he approached elite prospect status.
Projected 2013 Stat Line: .305 AVG/ 23 HR/ 88 RBI/ .935 OPS (CAL/PCL)
Sleeper Prospect: Lucas Giolito, RHP, Washington Nationals
          I really wanted the Blue Jays to take Giolito with the 17th pick, but he ended up going to the Nationals with the 16th pick and that could pay huge dividends for them. Once thought of as the prospect who could be the first high scholl right hander to be selected 1st overall, a UCL sprain in March 2012 ended his season and subsequently hurt his draft stock. He is fully healthy now and should put up monster numbers as he continues his charge towards the front of the Nationals’ rotation (which could be downright scary in a few years).
Projected 2013 Stat Line: 8-5/ 2.75 ERA/ 75 IP/ 15.8 K/9/ 1.00 WHIP (GCL/ Short)
Sleeper Prospect: Addison Russell, SS, Oakland Athletics
          The second most underrated prospect in baseball is Oakland A’s SS Addison Russell. Russell is a player that reminds me a lot     of Derek Jeter, and yes those may be some pretty heavy expectations to put on a 19 year old, but I think he has the potential to be that type of player. When you look at his stats, they do resemble Jeter in a lot of ways; a ridiculous career AVG of .369, a decent amount of steals (16) and a very low strikeout rate of 22%. Am I saying that he is going to end up as good if not better than Jeter? Absolutely not, but when you look at what he has been able to accomplish over his minor league career, it shouldn’t be too long before we see him dominating at the big-league level.
Projected 2013 Stat Line: .345 AVG/ 14 HR/ 58 RBI/ .965 OPS (AAA/MLB)
Sleeper Prospect: Adonys Cardona, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
          The most underrated prospect in the game to me is Adonys Cardona. In very limited minor league time, he has been up and down but you go on YouTube and watch him pitch, he is downright nasty and is the type of pitcher that can head a rotation for many years. Think of Cardona as a young Michael Pineda but with better mechanics and command. He is the type of pitcher that comes around once in a generation, and the Blue Jays are lucky to have such a diamond in the rough on their hands.
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Nicholas Bell

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